{"id":1266,"date":"2021-02-24T14:39:26","date_gmt":"2021-02-24T14:39:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thebizsense.com\/za\/?p=1266"},"modified":"2021-02-24T14:39:26","modified_gmt":"2021-02-24T14:39:26","slug":"treasury-projects-a-r212-2-billion-revenue-shortfall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thebizsense.com\/za\/tax\/treasury-projects-a-r212-2-billion-revenue-shortfall","title":{"rendered":"Treasury projects a R212.2 billion revenue shortfall"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

South Africa – The National Treasury announced on Wednesday that the gross tax revenue for 2020\/21 is expected to be R213.2 billion lower than projections in the 2020 Budget.<\/p>\n

\u201cHowever, due to a recovery in consumption and wages in recent months, and mining sector tax receipts, 2020\/21 revenue collections are expected to be R99.6 billion higher than estimated in the 2020 MTBPS.<\/p>\n

\u201cAs a result, government will not introduce measures to increase tax revenue in this Budget, and previously announced increases amounting to R40 billion over the next four years will be withdrawn.\u201d<\/p>\n

The main tax proposals include an above-inflation increase in personal income tax brackets and rebates, and an 8 percent increase in alcohol and tobacco excise duties.<\/p>\n

The National Treasury said while a temporary increase in spending was necessary to combat the spread and impact of COVID-19, the medium-term policy stance is focused on repairing the public finances.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe 2020 MTBPS noted that, over the past decade, increased government spending has failed to promote growth.<\/p>\n

\u201cSince 2008, real spending growth has averaged 4.1 percent annually, well above annual real GDP growth of 1.5 percent.\u201d<\/p>\n

Despite high levels of expenditure, supported by increased debt accumulation, growth has not recovered to pre-2008 levels.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe fiscal position, which was already weak before the current crisis, has deteriorated sharply, requiring urgent steps to avoid a debt spiral.<\/p>\n

\u201cFor several years, increasing debt-service costs have exceeded nominal GDP growth \u2013 a trend expected to continue over the medium term.\u201d<\/p>\n

The National Treasury said if this course is not reversed, the economy will not be able to generate sufficient revenue for the state to service debt.<\/p>\n

\u201cWere that to occur, government would lose the ability to control debt and debt-service costs, as investors conclude that lending rates do not adequately compensate them for risk, leading to greater currency volatility and a protracted capital flow reversal.\u201d<\/p>\n

According to the National Treasury, gross loan debt is expected to increase from R3.95 trillion, or 80.3 percent of GDP, in 2020\/21 to R5.23 trillion, or 87.3 percent of GDP, by 2023\/24.<\/p>\n

\u201cDebt-service costs will rise from R232.9 billion in 2020\/21 to R338.6 billion in 2023\/24.<\/p>\n

\u201cThese costs, which were already the fastest-rising item of spending, now consume 19.2 percent of tax revenue. Funds that could be spent on economic and social priorities are being redirected to pay local and overseas bondholders.<\/p>\n

\u201cOver the next three years, annual debt-service payments exceed government spending on most functions, including health, economic services, and peace and security.\u201d- SAnews.gov.za<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

South Africa – The National Treasury announced on Wednesday that the gross tax revenue for 2020\/21 is expected to be R213.2 billion lower than projections in the 2020 Budget.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[11],"class_list":["post-1266","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tax","tag-tax-revenue"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thebizsense.com\/za\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1266","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thebizsense.com\/za\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thebizsense.com\/za\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thebizsense.com\/za\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thebizsense.com\/za\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1266"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.thebizsense.com\/za\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1266\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1268,"href":"https:\/\/www.thebizsense.com\/za\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1266\/revisions\/1268"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thebizsense.com\/za\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1266"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thebizsense.com\/za\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1266"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thebizsense.com\/za\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1266"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}