{"id":310,"date":"2011-03-17T07:37:04","date_gmt":"2011-03-17T07:37:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thebizsense.com\/views\/?p=310"},"modified":"2011-03-19T10:10:41","modified_gmt":"2011-03-19T10:10:41","slug":"12-investments-to-sell-or-avoid","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thebizsense.com\/views\/predictions\/12-investments-to-sell-or-avoid","title":{"rendered":"12 investments to sell or avoid"},"content":{"rendered":"

Here are some kinds of investment to avoid<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Big<\/a>

Big Ticket Consumer Purchases<\/p><\/div>\n

The 12 categories on which he is negative are:<\/p>\n

\u2022 Manufacturers and distributors of big-ticket consumer purchases such as cars, appliances, air travel, cruises, and leisure and hospitality providers. As consumers save more, they\u2019ll curtail spending on expensive postponable items.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Credit card and other lenders to consumers. They\u2019ll be burdened for years by the new focus on saving, and horror stories about what personal debt can do to you.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Conventional home builders and suppliers. Burdened by excess inventories from the past building boom and the evaporation of home-owner investment interest.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Antiques, art and other tangibles. They need high inflation and upper-income people flush with cash to do well.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Banks and similar financial institutions. Their executives are likely to act very conservatively for a generation, with a focus on lowering risk rather than boosting earnings.<\/p>\n

\u2022 \u201cJunk\u201d (high-risk) securities. Deflation will be lethal because the borrowers will find it difficult if not impossible to service their bonds.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Flailing companies. Below-average revenue growth, high fixed costs and big debts will be \u201ca lethal combination in an era of slow growth.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u2022 Low- and old-tech capital equipment producers. In the advanced economies the focus will be on productivity-enhancing equipment rather than capacity expansion.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Commercial real estate. Vacancies are rising, rental levels for new tenants have collapsed and prices are plunging.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Commodities. Excess supply and muted demand will keep prices under pressure, but more important will be the collapse of investment\/speculative demand.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Developing country stocks and bonds. Emerging markets overwhelmingly depend for their growth on exports to the US, where there is going to be major retrenchment in demand.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Japan \u2013 \u201ca slow-train wreck.\u201d An ageing and shrinking population, cautious consumers, huge government debt, failure of the money-printing policy.<\/p>\n

CopyRight \u2013 OnTarget March 2011 by Martin Spring<\/p>\n

This article followed on from – Prediction: unemployment to continue rising<\/a><\/p>\n

and is followed by – Ten investments to buy<\/p>\n

and is part of the series starting with – Survive and Prosper in the Grim Decade<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Here are some kinds of investment to avoid The 12 categories on which he is negative are: \u2022 Manufacturers and distributors of big-ticket consumer purchases such as cars, appliances, air travel, cruises, and leisure and hospitality providers. As consumers save more, they\u2019ll curtail spending on expensive postponable items. \u2022 Credit card and other lenders to consumers. They\u2019ll be burdened for years by the new focus on saving, and horror stories about what personal debt can do to you. \u2022 Conventional home builders and suppliers. Burdened by excess inventories from the past building boom and the evaporation of home-owner investment interest. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":322,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"amazonpipp_noncename":"","amazon-product-isactive":"","amazon-product-single-asin":"","amazon-product-content-location":"","amazon-product-content-hook-override":"2","amazon-product-excerpt-hook-override":"3","amazon-product-singular-only":"","amazon-product-amazon-desc":"","amazon-product-show-gallery":"","amazon-product-show-features":"","amazon-product-newwindow":"2","amazon-product-show-list-price":"","amazon-product-show-used-price":"","amazon-product-show-saved-amt":"","amazon-product-timestamp":"","amazon-product-new-title":"","amazon-product-use-cartURL":"","amazon_featured_post_meta_key":"","_amazon_featured_alt":"","amazon-product-template":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[74],"tags":[83,82,81,84,80,79],"class_list":["post-310","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-predictions","tag-air-travel","tag-cars","tag-consumer-purchases","tag-cruises","tag-distributors","tag-manufacturers","has_thumb"],"yoast_head":"12 investments to sell or avoid - TheBizSense Views<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.thebizsense.com\/views\/predictions\/12-investments-to-sell-or-avoid\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"12 investments to sell or avoid - TheBizSense Views\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Here are some kinds of investment to avoid The 12 categories on which he is negative are: \u2022 Manufacturers and distributors of big-ticket consumer purchases such as cars, appliances, air travel, cruises, and leisure and hospitality providers. 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